SIRC-2023-National-Top-Tier Real Estate: Spring 2023 State of Luxury Report

Posted on April 18, 2023 by Steven Hill

Top-Tier Real Estate: Spring 2023

State of Luxury Report*

Canada’s luxury real estate market saw muted sales activity in the first quarter of 2023, as a shortage of housing supply across every spectrum of the market compelled real estate sellers and buyers to delay market engagement to the second quarter. The country’s major metropolitan areas are primed to see a resurgence of newly pre-qualified and highly motivated home buyers across the luxury and conventional markets this spring, as those who paused their activity in 2022 renew their search, albeit with an empowered mindset that will deter significant price escalation. Despite buoyant consumer confidence and a level of demand that would typically prime the market for healthy activity, a deficit of property listings is expected to place a ceiling on potential spring sales, hampering the housing needs and aspirations of Canadians.

Our latest market report, Top-Tier Real Estate: Spring 2023 State of Luxury Report*, covers the performance of luxury residential real estate sales in Canada’s largest real estate markets during the first quarter of 2023.

“After an era of intense hyperinflation, new post-pandemic benchmarks for Canadian conventional and luxury real estate were established in 2022 as the market processed the impact of aggressive interest rate hikes and the effects of an increasingly uncertain global and domestic economic climate. By the end of the year, luxury housing segments in several major metropolitan areas were on the brink of buyers’ market conditions, while others had very clearly shifted into this territory,” says Don Kottick, President and CEO of Sotheby’s International Realty Canada. “The market is now on the verge of another important adjustment, this time in terms of pricing. It has taken several months for home sellers to realize the impact of the changing market on the market values of their properties. As new property listings come onto the market in 2023, their pricing will shift to meet current realities. This will start to unlock long-awaited opportunities for buyers and upsizers to purchase homes that meet their lifestyle needs as they acclimatize to the market.”

READ THE COMPLIMENTARY MARKET REPORT

Market Highlights

Record in-migration and a dynamic economy bolstered Calgary’s luxury market performance in the first quarter of 2023. Although $1 million-plus residential sales were down 36% from January 1– March 31 year-over-year, this sales volume was a significant 223% higher than levels recorded in the pre-pandemic first quarter of 2020 and more than the city’s 10-year average for sales over $1 million.
Montreal’s luxury market continued to rebalance, as residential sales over $1 million pulled back by 43% year-over-year in the first quarter of 2023.
A scarcity of luxury listings in the City of Toronto limited potential transactions and contributed to a 64% year-over-year decline in Greater Toronto Area residential sales over $4 million in the first quarter of the year.
In Vancouver’s inventory-starved market, first-quarter luxury sales activity over $4 million receded 53% year-over-year as prospective home buyers and sellers strategically deferred activity to spring.

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MARCH 2023 Calgary & Area Housing Stats

Posted on April 3, 2023 by Steven Hill

April 27, 2023 | CREB

CREB®'s Q1 2023 Housing Market Report

City of Calgary, April 27, 2023 – Sales activity has behaved as expected through the start of 2023 and slowed by 43 per cent over last year’s all-time record-high performance in the first quarter. The steeper decline in the first quarter was expected, given the surge in sales last year, as purchasers were eager to enter the market ahead of expected rate gains.

“While no further rate gains have occurred so far this year, the higher lending rates and limited supply options are contributing to some of the pullbacks in sales,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “Nevertheless, despite the decline, sales activity has remained well above pre-pandemic levels thanks to recent gains in migration coupled with a stronger employment market.”

The most notable challenge in the market has been related to supply levels. New listings were expected to ease as higher lending rates would make it more difficult for the move-up buyer. However, the pace of decline in new listings has exceeded expectations. New listings in the first quarter declined by 40 per cent, preventing any significant shift in the supply levels given the relatively strong sales.

Inventory levels in the city averaged 2,814 units in the first quarter, 21 per cent lower than last year’s levels and over 42 per cent below long-term trends for the first quarter. With a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 71 per cent and a months of supply of under two months in the first quarter, conditions continue to favour the seller.

Exceptionally tight market conditions early last year drove significant price gains throughout the 2022 spring market, peaking at $544,733 in the second quarter. While supply-demand balances remained tight throughout 2022, prices did trend down over the third and fourth quarters, somewhat adjusting for the rapid rise earlier in the year.

Further tightening in the supply-demand balance in the first quarter was enough to stop the downward price trend as the quarterly benchmark price rose by nearly two per cent over the fourth quarter to $531,200 but remained below the Q2 high.

“Some of the fluctuations in price were expected this year, given what happened last year,” said Lurie. “However, price growth to date has been stronger than expected. Given the limited supply currently on the market, we could expect to see some stronger price growth through spring, potentially supporting a modest annual gain in 2023.”

For the full report, please download CREB®’s Q1 2023 Calgary & Region Quarterly Update Report here.

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FEBRUARY 2023 HOUSING MARKET UPDATE

Posted on March 1, 2023 by Steven Hill

Lowest February inventory since 2006

Consistent with typical seasonal behavior sales, new listings and inventory levels all trended up compared to last month. However, with 1,740 sales and 2,389 new listings, inventory levels improved only slightly over the last month and remained amongst the lowest February levels seen since 2006.

“While higher lending rates are impacting sales activity as expected, we are seeing a stronger pullback in new listings, keeping supply levels low and supporting some stronger-than-expected monthly price gains,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “Prices are still below the May 2022 peak and it is still early in the year. However, if we do not see a shift in supply, we could see further upward pressure on prices over the near term.”

Both sales and new listings declined over last year’s record high for the month. While sales activity remained stronger than long-term trends and levels reported throughout the 2015 to 2020 period, new listings fell below long-term trends.

With a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 73 per cent and a months of supply of under two months, the market has struggled to move into balanced territory causing further upward pressure on home prices. The unadjusted benchmark price increased by nearly two per cent over January levels and last year’s prices.

Detached

Both sales and new listings reported significant year-over-year declines over last year’s record high. While the seasonal monthly gain did see inventories move up over the last two months, levels are still amongst the lowest seen in February, and the months of supply fell below two months.

Further tightening conditions did cause the unadjusted benchmark prices to rise over last month’s levels, but at a price of $635,900, it is still below the peak reported in May 2022. While supply continues to remain a challenge relative to demand for lower-priced homes, we are seeing conditions shift into balanced territory for homes priced above $700,000.

Semi-Detached

Like the detached sector despite the seasonal monthly gain, both sales and new listings fell from last year’s record high. While inventories are starting to rise over the levels seen in the past few months, they remain amongst the lowest levels reported for February. The relatively low inventory levels caused the months of supply to fall below two months in February, while it is still higher than last year’s ultra-low levels, conditions continue to favour the seller.

The unadjusted benchmark price reached $568,100 in February, nearly two per cent higher than last month and a three per cent gain over last February. Persistently tight market conditions contributed to the monthly unadjusted gain in the benchmark price. However, like detached properties prices remain below the May 2022 peak.

Row

Conditions remained exceptionally tight in February with only one month of supply and a sales-to-new listings ratio of 87 percent. While row sales have eased over record levels, they have remained relatively strong for February as demand shifts toward the affordable product in the market.

The persistently tight conditions caused further upward pressure on prices. In February, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $369,700, a monthly gain of over two per cent and a year-over-year gain of nine per cent. Unlike the other sectors, prices have reached a new high this month.

Apartment Condominium

Sales for apartment condominiums did not see the same pace of decline as other property types in February partly due to the level of new listings coming onto the market. Persistently strong sales compared to listings have caused February inventory levels to remain relatively low compared to levels seen over the past eight years and the months of supply once again dropped below two months.

The tight market condition contributed to the upward pressure on prices. In February, the unadjusted apartment benchmark price reached $286,000, nearly three per cent higher than last month and over 11 per cent higher than last February. While prices are still higher than the levels reported last year, they remain nearly seven per cent below the peak levels reported back in 2014.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

Inventories continued to improve in February but with only 178 units available levels are still well below longer-term trends for the month ensuring that the months of supply remained below two months.

The unadjusted benchmark price in February rose over last month keeping it comparable to levels seen last year at this time. However, with a benchmark price of $487,200, prices remain below the peak price of $510,700 reported in April 2022.

Cochrane

Like Airdrie, inventory levels have also been on the rise in Cochrane. While February levels are double what was available in the market last year, inventories remain over 40 per cent below long-term trends for the month. Nonetheless, both sales and new listings have eased so far this year helping the market shift toward more balanced conditions.

The February benchmark price did improve both over last month’s and last year’s levels. However, with an unadjusted price of $492,900, levels are still below the $522,600 peak reached in June of 2022.

Okotoks

While both sales and new listings have slowed compared to last year, conditions remained exceptionally tight with a sales-to-new listings ratio of 90 per cent. Inventory levels also continued to fall both compared to last month and last year, with levels nearing the February 2006 record low.

As conditions continue to favour the seller, it is not a surprise that we continue to see upward pressure on home prices. In February, the unadjusted benchmark price reached $555,000, three per cent higher than last month’s and last February’s levels. However, like some areas, prices remain just shy of the May peak of $560,700.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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January 2023: Calgary Housing Market Update

Posted on February 1, 2023 by Steven Hill

Supply of lower-priced homes remains low for January

The level of new listings in January fell to the lowest levels seen since the late 90s. While new listings fell in nearly every price range, the pace of decline was higher for lower-priced properties.

At the same time, sales activity did slow compared to the high levels reported last year but remained consistent with long-term trends. However, there has been a shift in the composition of sales as detached homes only comprised 47 per cent of all sales.

“Higher lending rates are causing many buyers to seek out lower-priced products in our market,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “However, the higher rates are likely also preventing some move-up activity in the market impacting supply growth for lower-priced homes. This is causing differing conditions in the housing market based on price range.”

With 2,451 units available in inventory, levels remain 43 per cent lower than long-term trends for the month. While overall inventory levels are slightly lower than last January, there is significant variation by price range. Homes priced under $500,000 reported year-over-year inventory declines of nearly 30 per cent while inventory levels improved for homes prices above that level.

Although conditions are not as tight as last year, lower supply levels are preventing a significant shift toward balanced conditions and prices did trend up slightly over last month breaking the seven consecutive month slide. As of January, the benchmark price reached $520,900, 5 per cent higher than last January, but still well below the May 2022 high of $546,000.

Detached

Detached home sales saw the largest pullback despite the year-over-year rise in inventory levels. Higher lending rates are cooling demand for higher-priced homes which is supporting inventory gains. Meanwhile, a limited supply of lower-priced products is preventing stronger sales in the lower price ranges.

The variation within the market is likely causing divergent trends in pricing as prices have trended down in the higher-priced City Centre, while still reporting some modest gains in other districts of the city. Overall, the benchmark price reached $622,800 in January, slightly higher than levels reported in December, but still below the monthly high achieved in May 2022.

Semi-Detached

Sales in January slowed relative to last year’s levels but remained above levels achieved before the pandemic. At the same time, a pullback in new listings has left inventory levels below the already low levels reported last January. Like the detached sector, semi-detached homes have seen shifts where the demand remains strong for lower-priced product relative to the supply likely causing divergent trends in pricing.

In January, most districts reported a monthly benchmark price growth. However, prices did trend down in the higher-priced City Centre district causing Calgary’s semi-detached benchmark prices to ease slightly over levels seen in December 2022. Despite the monthly adjustment overall, prices remained nearly six per cent higher than levels reported in January 2022.

Row

Row homes sales slowed over last year’s record high but remained well above long-term trends for the month. Sales would have likely been stronger if more listings came onto the market. In January, new listings dropped over the previous year and were over 20 per cent below long-term trends. The adjustments in both sales and new listings did little to change the low inventory scenario and the months of supply remained below two months in January.

The persistently tight conditions did also prevent any downward pressure on prices which posted a nearly one per cent gain over December levels. With a benchmark price of $361,400, levels are still over 12 per cent higher than last January, and only slightly lower than the $363,700 monthly high achieved in June 2022.

Apartment Condominium

Sales for apartment condominiums did not see the same pace of decline as other property types in January partly due to the level of new listings coming onto the market. Nonetheless, inventory levels remained well below long-term trends for the month and have not been this low in January since 2014.

The adjustments to both sales and inventory have left this sector with a months of supply that is lower than levels seen at the start of 2022. The shift to affordable options is also impacting prices within the apartment condominium sector. In January, prices trended up from December levels driven by strong gains in the lower priced district of the North East and East. Overall, apartment condominium prices in the city reached $277,600, one per cent higher than last month and a year-over-year gain of nearly 10 per cent, narrowing the spread from the record high prices set in 2014.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

January sales eased over last year’s record high but remained consistent with long-term trends for the month. The pullback in sales did outpace the pullback in new listings causing inventory levels to improve over the exceptionally low levels reported last year. Despite the inventory gain, levels remain over 50 per cent lower than long-term trends for January

These shifts in the market have caused the months of supply to rise over last January’s 2022 record low. However, with less than two months of supply, conditions continue to remain relatively tight and supported a modest monthly price gain. In January, the benchmark price reached $480,200, nearly eight per cent higher than last January, but still below the monthly peak of $510,700 achieved in April 2022.

Cochrane

January sales eased over last year’s record high but remained comparable to long-term trends for the month. At the same time, new listings also slowed, but not at the same pace as sales. Inventory levels also rose from the near record lows reported last January. While improving inventories is likely welcome news to most buyers, inventory levels are still nearly 40 per cent below long-term trends.

Shifts in both sales and inventory have caused the months of supply to rise to nearly three months. This has taken some of the pressure off home prices which have seen exceptional gains over the past two years. Overall, the benchmark price in January was $488,900, over one per cent lower than last month but still seven per cent higher than January 2022 levels.

Okotoks

Both sales and new listings slowed in January compared to last year, preventing any significant addition to inventory compared to what was available in the market at the end of 2022. While there is more supply in the market compared to last January’s record low, with only 56 units available, this is still 61 per cent below long-term trends for the town.

The persistently tight market conditions have supported significant price growth over the past several years. While recent shifts have taken some of the pressure off the pace of price growth, prices did see some further gains this month. In January, the benchmark price reached $539,000, an increase from December and a year-over-year gain of nearly seven per cent.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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Forecast report: Calgary housing market expected to stabilize in 2023

Posted on January 24, 2023 by Steven Hill

Calgary housing market expected to stabilize in 2023

The Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB®) has released its 2023 Forecast Calgary and Region Yearly Outlook Report. The report, which is prepared by CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie, provides a detailed analysis of the economic and housing market trends in Calgary and surrounding areas for the upcoming year.

According to the report, elevated lending rates are expected to weigh on sales in 2023, bringing levels down from the record high in 2022. However, with forecasted sales of 25,921 in 2023, levels are still expected to be higher than the activity reported before the pandemic.

“Higher commodity prices, recent job growth, record high migration and relative affordability are expected to help offset some of the impacts higher lending rates are having on housing demand. At the same time, we are entering the year with low supply levels which are expected to prevent significant price declines in our market,” said Lurie.

Supply levels declined to the lowest levels seen in over a decade as gains in higher price properties did not offset the supply declines occurring in lower-priced homes. This has left our market in a situation where lower-priced properties still face sellers’ market conditions while higher-priced homes are seeing more balanced to buyers' market conditions.

The shift between supply and sales by price ranges is expected to create divergent trends in prices depending on property type and price range. Overall, price declines in the upper end of the market are expected to offset gains reported in the lower ranges, causing an annual decline of less than one per cent.

“With much of the pandemic behind us, 2023 reflects more of an adjustment into more typical conditions and a pause on price gains following 12 per cent growth in 2022. While other markets in the country are forecasted to see more significant price and sale declines in 2023, Calgary did not face the same gains as those markets, as prices only recovered from the 2014 highs in 2021,” added Lurie.

Click here for the full CREB® 2023 Forecast Calgary and Region Yearly Outlook Report.

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What The Foreign Buyers Ban Means For You

Posted on January 16, 2023 by Steven Hill

On January 1, 2023, the Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non-Canadians Act (the “Foreign Buyers Ban”) came into effect in Canada and will be in place for two years.

As a company, Sotheby’s International Realty Canada expects that we will see continued interest and demand for Canadian real estate from purchasers from abroad who will remain fully qualified to purchase a home in Canada.

WHO DOES THE BAN TARGET?

The legislation targets non-Canadian citizens, as well as non-Canadian commercial entities, i.e., those formed not pursuant to the laws of Canada or one of its provinces, or an entity formed under Canadian or provincial laws with direct or indirect ownership by a non-Canadian, where that ownership amounts to 3% or more of the value of the entity’s equity or voting rights.

However, there are several exemptions subject to varying and complex conditions.

WHO IS EXEMPT FROM THE BAN?
The ban does NOT apply to:

Canadian citizens or permanent residents.

The spouse or common-law partner of a Canadian citizen, permanent resident, person registered under the Indian Act, or refugee.

Non-Canadians who are looking to rent a residential property in Canada.

Temporary residents enrolled in a program of authorized study at a designated learning institution (as defined in Immigration and Refugee Protection Regulations), who meet the eligibility criteria.

Temporary residents with a valid work permit or authorization to work in Canada, who meet the eligibility criteria.

Refugees, temporary residents who are proven to be fleeing conflict, and those making a claim for refugee protection.

Accredited members of foreign missions in Canada.

Important: these exemptions are subject to varying and complex conditions. Non-Canadian clients who may be exempt, must be referred to an appropriate third-party professional (e.g. a lawyer or accountant) to determine their eligibility.

WHAT PROPERTY TYPES ARE INCLUDED IN THE BAN?

The legislation applies to residential properties, including detached homes or similar buildings, as well as semi-detached houses, rowhouse units, residential condominium units and other similar premises, that are located in a census metropolitan area or a census agglomeration. A census metropolitan area has a total population of at least 100,000 people, with at least 50,000 living in its core, and a census agglomeration has a core population of at least 10,000 people.

This means that the Foreign Buyers Ban does not apply to non-Canadians buying a residential property outside of a census metropolitan area or census agglomeration.

WHAT PROPERTY TRANSACTION TYPES ARE AFFECTED BY THE BAN?

The regulations apply to purchases, defined as a direct or indirect acquisition of a right or interest in residential property.

It does not apply to property acquisitions as a result of death, divorce, gifts, or a separation.

WHAT ARE THE PENALTIES FOR VIOLATING THE FOREIGN BUYERS BAN?

There are significant penalties for violating this legislation. Any person knowingly assisting or attempting to assist a non-Canadian in the purchase of a prohibited property may be subject to a summary conviction offence under the Criminal Code and a fine of up to $10,000.

In a constantly evolving market, let us help you make informed decisions. We offer personalized attention tailored to your needs, regardless of the neighbourhood or price of your home. Ask us about local market conditions and opportunities, and let us prepare you for your next move.

This post was published on January 16, 2023 on Insight Blog. For the most up-to-date and accurate information, and to determine your eligibility, we encourage clients to contact their real estate agent or an appropriate third-party professional, such as a lawyer or accountant.

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Six essential tips to prepare your home for a spring sale

Posted on January 10, 2023 by Steven Hill

Six essential tips to prepare your home for a spring sale

As we recover from the Holidays, it's hard to believe we need to start thinking about preparing our home for sale if we want to maximize its value in the spring selling season.

To capture the imagination of buyers who'll emerge from their hibernation this spring, you should start working now.

Your efforts will return dividends: pristine properties are always the fastest to sell, no matter the market's mood.

As an experienced agent in our neighborhood, I believe buyer confidence is likely to return as the winter chill gives way to the warmth and optimism of spring.

It will be a new beginning, especially if the Federal Reserve eases back on the past 12 months of rate rises, as it has indicated.

For buyers, this could be an optimal time if they have an income to sustain the current mortgage costs. And as a seller, you know it only takes two competing buyers to push your sales price higher.

Below are seven great ideas for preparing your home for a spring sale.

Plan early

Make a realistic assessment of improvements required to get your property in tip-top condition. An agent should guide you on upgrades that attract buyer interest and those that won't. Don't waste money on work that buyers won't care about.

To-do list

Itemize each repair your home requires. You'll undoubtedly be able to do some of the jobs, but hire a contractor to undertake those requiring a certain skill level. Don't let amateur finishing undermine the value of your home at a critical time.

Major upgrades

Discuss with your agent whether it's worth investing in a new kitchen or remodeling your bathroom. While such renovations may push the price higher, will you get a return on investment? Your agent should help answer that question.

Deep clean

A significant undertaking, you may want to hire professional cleaners to go through your home from top to bottom. If you favor that course of action, book them so they'll complete the task just a few days before your property goes on the market. If you DIY, give yourself plenty of time.

Do a declutter

Ahead of the cleaning project, you should declutter like crazy. Buyers are looking for spacious living areas and bedrooms, and lots of storage space. If your home is full to the gills, now you have your excuse for a big throw-out.

Flower power

Remember, you're selling in spring, so make your garden a picture. Feed and mulch the flowerbeds to ensure your plants look their best. Consider buying colourful spring blooms to brighten the outside. Put your initial focus on the front yard to create a fabulous first impression.

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December 2022 | Calgary Housing Market Update

Posted on January 9, 2023 by Steven Hill

2022 saw record-high sales and double-digit price growth

City of Calgary | January 3, 2022–

December sales eased, however, slowing sales over the second half of 2022 were not enough to offset earlier gains as sales reached a record high of 29,672 units in 2022.

Over the past several months, the pullback in sales was also met with a significant pullback in new listings, causing further declines in inventory levels. As of December, there were 2,214 units available in Inventory, making it the lowest level of inventory reported for December in over a decade.

“Housing market conditions have changed significantly throughout the year, as sales activity slowed following steep rate gains throughout the later part of the year,” said CREB® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “However, Calgary continues to report activity that is better than levels seen before the pandemic and higher than long-term trends for the city. At the same time, we have faced persistently low inventory levels, which have prevented a more significant adjustment in home prices this year.”

Benchmark prices eased to $518,800 in December, down nearly five percent from the peak price in May but almost eight percent higher than last December. While prices have trended down annually, they remain over 12 percent higher than last year’s levels.

The housing market in 2022 generally outperformed expectations both in terms of sales and price growth.

HOUSING MARKET FACTS

Detached

The detached market has felt most of the impact of higher rates as a pullback in sales in the year’s second half contributed to the year-to-date decline of over seven percent. While there have been some gains in new listings over the last quarter, much of the growth has occurred in the market's upper-end, supporting more balanced conditions. However, supply levels for lower-priced homes remain low relative to the sales activity, causing that market segment to continue favouring the seller. Overall, the detached market has seen activity shift away from the strong sellers’ conditions reported earlier in the year.

Prices in the detached market have trended down in the second half of the year, as the December benchmark price of $619,600 has eased by just over four percent from the June high. The recent adjustments have not erased all the earlier gains, as benchmark prices reported an annual gain of over 14 percent. Annual price growth has ranged from a high of 19 percent in the South East, North and North East districts to a low of nearly eight percent in the City Centre.

Further declines in sales this month contributed to the year-to-date sales decline of nearly three percent. While sales have eased relative to last year’s record levels, activity is still far stronger than long-term trends and levels reported prior to the pandemic. At the same time, new listings have been trending down for this property type, keeping the inventory and months of supply relatively low compared to historical levels.

While conditions are not as tight as earlier in the year, there has been some downward pressure on prices. The monthly benchmark price peaked in May of this year and has eased by nearly four percent since then. However, on an annual basis, benchmark prices remain nearly 12 percent higher than in 2021. The North district reported a higher annual price gain of over 18 percent.

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2023 Luxury Outlook Report : Sotheby's International Realty Canada

Posted on January 5, 2023 by Steven Hill

I am pleased to introduce the Sotheby's International Realty 2023 Luxury Outlook report, which outlines the industry trends and happenings across high-end residential markets around the world. In 2022, we saw mortgage rates soar after two years of historic lows, fueling a “lock-in” effect that strained an already tight market as homeowners continued to spend more time at home than ever before. In this report, we highlight the trends that you can expect in the year ahead, from the projected flow of global wealth into the real estate market to luxury real estate in the metaverse.

READ THE REPORT

Through the 2023 Luxury Outlook report, our goal is to help you navigate this fast-moving and ever-changing real estate market. I hope that this compilation of research and industry perspectives, exclusively presented by Sotheby's International Realty, helps you as you look to invest you equity wisely in the year ahead.

Here is a snapshot of takeaways from the report:

As always, I am here to answer any questions regarding the market locally or assist in connecting you with a Sotheby's International Realty expert in another part of the country or world.

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November 2022 | Calgary Housing Market Update

Posted on December 2, 2022 by Steven Hill

2022 on track to be a record year for sales

Residential sales in the city slowed to 1,648 units, a year-over-year decline of 22 per cent, but 12 per cent above the 10-year average.

The pullback in sales over the past six months was not enough to erase gains from earlier in the year as year-to-date sales remain nearly 10 per cent above last year’s record high. The year-to-date sales growth has been driven by a surge in both apartment condominium and row sales.

“Easing sales have been driven mostly by declines in the detached sector of the market,” said CREB^® Chief Economist Ann-Marie Lurie. “Higher lending rates are impacting purchasers buying power and limited supply choice in the lower price ranges of the detached market is likely causing many purchasers to place buying decisions on hold.”

A decline in sales was met with a pullback in new listings and inventories fell to the lowest level reported in November since 2005. The pullback in both sales and new listings kept the months of supply relatively tight at below two months. The tightest conditions are occurring in the lower-price ranges as supply growth has mostly been driven by gains in the upper-end of the market.

REGIONAL MARKET FACTS

Airdrie

November sales eased mostly due to the significant pullback in detached sales. While sales this month are down over last year’s record levels, overall activity is still far stronger than long-term trends and year-to-date sales are still on pace to reach a new record high.

New listings did improve over the previous year, thanks to gains in row, semi and apartment style product. While the growth in new listings did cause November inventories to rise over last year’s low levels, inventory levels remain nearly 40 per cent below long-term trends in the area.

Despite persistently tight conditions, benchmark prices continue to trend down from the record high level reported in April of this year. Despite some adjustments, prices remained over 13 per cent higher than last year’s levels.

Detached

Detached sales slowed across every price range this month, contributing to the year-over-year decline of nearly 34 per cent and the year-to-date decline of five per cent. On a year-to-date basis, sales have eased for homes priced under $500,000 as the level of new listings in this price range has dropped by over 36 per cent limiting the options for purchasers looking for affordable product.

Meanwhile, new listings and supply selection did improve for higher-priced properties creating more balanced conditions in the upper-end of the market. This has different implications on price pressure in the market.

The benchmark price in November slowed to $619,700, down from the high in May of $648,500. While prices have eased over the past several months, they continue to remain nearly 11 per cent higher than levels reported last year.

Semi-Detached

The pullback in sales this month was enough to cause the year-to-date sales to ease by nearly one per cent compared to last year. Despite the recent declines, year-to-date sales remain 37 per cent above long-term averages for the city.

Easing sales this month were also met with a pullback in new listings, causing further declines in inventory levels and ensuring market conditions remained relatively tight with a month of supply of two months and a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 100 per cent.

Unlike the detached sector, the tight conditions prevented any further retraction in prices this month. In November, the benchmark price reached $562,800, slightly higher than last month and nearly 10 per cent higher than last year’s levels.

Row

Further declines in new listings likely contributed to the slower sales activity this month as the sales-to-new-listings ratio remained high at 99 per cent. Inventory levels fell to 383 units, making it the lowest level of November inventory recorded since the 2013. This low level of inventory ensured that the months of supply remained below two months.

Despite the persistently tight market conditions, prices trended down this month reaching $358,700. While prices have eased from the June high, they are nearly 14 per cent higher than prices reported last November. The strongest price growth was reported in the North East, North and South East districts where prices have risen by over 18 per cent.

Apartment Condominium

Despite a pullback in new listings this month, apartment condominium sales continued to rise, and inventories fell to the lowest November levels seen since 2013. This caused further tightening in market conditions as the sales-to-new-listings ratio pushed above 100 per cent and a months of supply dropped to two months.

Recent tightening in the market has put a pause on price adjustments for apartment condominiums. In November, prices remained relatively stable at $277,000 compared to last month. While prices have reported a year-over-year gain of nearly 10 per cent, prices are still below their previous highs set back in 2014.

Cochrane

Further declines in November sales contributed to the six per cent year-to-date decline in sales. However, with 1,091 sales so far this year, this is still 69 per cent above long-term trends for the town.

Meanwhile, new listings have remained relatively low compared to sales, preventing a more significant shift in inventory levels. In November, inventory levels did rise above the low levels seen last year, but remained 35 per cent below longer term trends for the area.

Following significant gains reported earlier in the year, benchmark prices continue to trend down in November. However, the adjustments did not erase previous gains as the benchmark price remained over 12 per cent higher than levels reported last year.

Okotoks

Both sales and new listings eased in November preventing any significant change to inventory levels. While inventory levels are higher than last year, they remain 54 per cent below long-term trends for the area. Overall year-to-date sales activity has improved over last year and are 41 per cent higher than long-term trends.

As conditions have remained relatively tight this month, we saw a reversal of some of the price adjustments recorded over the previous two months. The benchmark price in November reached $549,100, a two per cent gain compared to last month, and a year-over-year gain of nearly 16 per cent.

Click here to view the full City of Calgary monthly stats package.

Click here to view the full Calgary region monthly stats package.

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